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  • Currently in Boston — June 14, 2023: Mainly dry but still the chance for some showers.

Currently in Boston — June 14, 2023: Mainly dry but still the chance for some showers.

Plus, India's boom-bust rainfall year is getting worse.

The weather, currently.

Mainly dry but still the chance for some showers.

The upper level pattern continues to be such that there is the risk for showers the next few afternoons but most of the time is dry. There will be morning sunshine on Wednesday as the sun comes up at 5:06 a.m. in Boston the earliest sunrise of the year. Hopefully there's enough blue sky in order to see it. Building clouds could produce a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon as temperatures reach near 80°. A similar pattern ensues for Thursday although it might be a couple of degrees cooler. I think we're going to have to contend with the risk of showers but most of the time is dry for Friday and Saturday as well. Temperatures will be well into the 70s.

What you need to know, currently.

South Asia faces a new extreme weather threat: Cyclone Biparjoy is expected to make landfall near the Pakistan/India border on Thursday.

Biparjoy is now one of the strongest/longest lasting cyclones ever measured in the Indian Ocean basin. Thankfully, Biparjoy should be weakening by the time it makes landfall, but it’s still expected to bring more than 200mm (7.87 in) of rainfall and coastal storm surge of 2-3 meters (6-10 ft) to parts of Gujarat state in India.

This year’s Indian Ocean cyclone season activity is running at 392% of normal — a sharp contrast the the extremely meager rains of monsoon season so far, which are 55% below normal. Comprehensive tropical cyclone records in the Indian Ocean began in 1972, and monsoon records date back to 1871.

This year’s boom-bust rainfall pattern in India fits with the pattern of how climate change affects the hydrologic cycle, prompting an increase in frequency in both droughts and floods at the same time.

What you can do, currently.

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